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Catches per Target


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We have been bashing BE quite hard for his drops....and I agree they are a problem. But I have also said that given some time with a QB that will actually connect with him and not hang him out to dry on bad passes...a lot of those dropsies will subside. I found this info on ESPN about targets...it was proving something else...but I find it is useful in seeing what BE has had to deal with as well:

 

Here's how the most targeted wide receivers stack up:

Player            Team  Targets  Catches  Catch Rate  QB Rate to WR  Difference
Brandon Marshall  Den     111      63         57%          62%          -5%
Andre Johnson     Hou     107      71         66%          65%           1%
Dwayne Bowe       KC      106      55         52%          50%           2%
T.J. Houshmandza  Cin     102      73         72%          62%          10%
Larry Fitzgerald  Ari     101      67         66%          71%          -5%
Roddy White       Atl      98      58         59%          59%           0%
Reggie Wayne      Ind      93      56         60%          60%           0%
Wes Welker        NE       92      72         78%          69%           9%
Calvin Johnson    Det      90      45         50%          50%           0%
Braylon Edwards   Cle      86      35         41%          42%          -1% 
Santana Moss      Was      84      49         58%          60%          -2%
Anquan Boldin     Ari      83      62         75%          71%           4%
Terrell Owens     Dal      82      40         49%          52%          -3%
Hines Ward        Pit      82      53         65%          56%           9%
Matt Jones        Jac      81      50         62%          59%           3%
DeSean Jackson    Phi      80      42         53%          56%          -3%
Antonio Bryant    TB       79      50         63%          66%          -3%
Derrick Mason     Bal      79      53         67%          58%           9%
Marvin Harrison   Ind      77      39         51%          60%          -9%
Greg Jennings     GB       77      48         62%          62%           0%

 

As you can easily see, he has the lowest percentage catches to targets (41%)...but what is interesting is that he is ONLY 1% off the ENTIRE WR CORP for the Browns (42%).

 

What that means is that despite not catching a large portion of passes thrown to him...it is more than likely due to the QB because the SAME RATE applies for the entire WR staff.

 

In fact, if you look at just the home-run hitter WR's you will see that many of them have a lower catch percentage than the remainder of their fellow WR's:

 

Marshall -5%; Fitzgerald -5%; Owens -3%; Jackson -3%; Bryant -3%; Harrison -9%

 

In that light, BE's -1% is downright acceptable.

 

Further, even if he had ZERO drops...his completion rate would only be 55.8% (assuming 13 drops) which would still be behind 14 of the top 20 most targeted WR's. That is really an incredible fact. Even if BE was PERFECT....he would be ranked 15th out of the top 20 most targeted WR's for completion rate!!!

 

I am not trying to give BE an excuse....but let's face it...a WR is TOTALLY DEPENDENT on the QB and his accuracy!!!

 

Also consider that he had 27 catches through 8 games (3.4 per game) with DA...and 9 after 2 games with BQ (4.5)....so much for the comment that BQ would be the death of BE!!!

 

Give this QB/WR combination a couple more weeks and I bet the drops will all but disappear!!!

 

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