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THE BROWNS BOARD

Kizer QB Rating


onkyoreceiver

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14 minutes ago, flyingfooldoug said:

With all the concern about CTEs going on, we draft a QB that suffers from migraine headaches.  Already came out of one game for it too. And yet our esteemed FO drafts a brain damaged QB that was considered iffy to begin with. 

Brilliant?

Well they do sell a lot more Tylenol @ Pilot Flying J now. Coincidence or conspiracy theory?;)

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13 hours ago, mjp28 said:

From covers 2016.....

https://www.covers.com/editorial/Article/30c19e21-b51e-e711-80cb-44a8423171c1/NFL-odds-against-the-spread-football-picks-analytics-NFL-trends-betting-tips

One commonly held belief among NFL bettors is that there’s an edge betting against teams that are currently playing well out of their time zones, whether it be one of the five teams on the West Coast traveling out to the East Coast or vice versa. 

But is there actually any truth to this theory? We've already seen the Oakland Raiders go West to East twice this season, and not only cover but win outright as road underdogs. The Raiders are once again on the East Coast to play Tampa Bay in Week 8, but stayed in Florida - rather than travel back to Oakland - following their win at Jacksonville last Sunday. 

Using data back to 1995 (the point at which the Los Angeles Rams moved to St. Louis) we can investigate whether there's proof behind the coast-to-coast method or if it's just a myth.

Between this year and 1995 there were only four teams that played their home games on the West Coast: the Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, Oakland Raiders and San Diego Chargers. So we can look at how these four teams did playing against the teams that played on the East Coast (and were on Eastern Time), of which there are 19 in total. 

We can look at both how the West Coast teams did when they were away (having to travel to the East Coast) and when they were home (with East Coast teams having to travel to them). Below is a simple breakdown of those games.
 

 

Record ATS

Record vs Total (% Over)

West  @ East

133-140 (48.7%)

143-131 (52.2%)

East  @ West

138-142 (49.3%)

151-135 (52.8%)


Three things jump out at me from this table.

1. Teams that have to travel to vastly different time zones, no matter which direction, are less than 50 percent ATS.

2. Games that involve two teams from vastly different time zones tend to go Over more than 50 percent of the time

3. Neither of these results are statistically significant at all. The closest one to statistical significance is that games involving East Coast teams playing on the West Coast go Over the total, and that only has a p-value of 0.375 - nowhere close to the 0.05 level desired for statistical significance. Although the direction of the effect is perhaps what we would think, the magnitude of the effect is not significant at all........CONTINUED IN LINK. ..........

Perhaps I'm just lucky, but I only bet the NFL occasionally.  I'm done with college because all I do is lose money:

image.thumb.png.a55bea29f72bc778fafd39e1be20684e.png

I bet $10 on 8 teams on 11/26.  Not tooting my own horn

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33 minutes ago, dawg2fan said:

Perhaps I'm just lucky, but I only bet the NFL occasionally.  I'm done with college because all I do is lose money:

I bet $10 on 8 teams on 11/26.  Not tooting my own horn

Can't anyone make a deposit and then withdraw it? ;)

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On 11/29/2017 at 11:15 AM, Mark O said:

well..one hopeful thing for this game is that its not a traditional road game.  The Chargers have zero home field advantage.   It's basically like the London game again where it's a neutral site  game.

Well, the only reason we won last against the Chargers last year was because they missed the FG.  I can promise you the score won't be close. Chargers will win by at least 10pts.  They have way too much talent.

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1 minute ago, dawg2fan said:

Well, the only reason we won last against the Chargers last year was because they missed the FG.  I can promise you the score won't be close. Chargers will win by at least 10pts.  They have way too much talent.

I'm aware of that and I don't disagree with the outcome.  We are currently a 15 point underdog and I'm tempted to bet on the San Diego/LA Chargers of Carson even giving 15 points.    They have a ton of talent and they can still win the division since KC and the Raiders have been shitting themselves for weeks and the Broncos don't have a QB.

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1 minute ago, dawg2fan said:

Well, the only reason we won last against the Chargers last year was because they missed the FG.  I can promise you the score won't be close. Chargers will win by at least 10pts.  They have way too much talent.

You have to think that the Chargers are just dying at a chance to annihilate the Browns after losing to them last year.

I hope I'm wrong, but man, I think this team is going down in infamy with the Lions of a decade ago. Oof...

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3 minutes ago, Dutch Oven said:

You have to think that the Chargers are just dying at a chance to annihilate the Browns after losing to them last year.

I hope I'm wrong, but man, I think this team is going down in infamy with the Lions of a decade ago. Oof...

Lets hope that means we end up with a guy like Matt Stafford and we can have a decade of some pretty good and pretty fun teams and maybe we can take it a couple steps farther than the Lions have been able to.

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1 hour ago, Mark O said:

I'm aware of that and I don't disagree with the outcome.  We are currently a 15 point underdog and I'm tempted to bet on the San Diego/LA Chargers of Carson even giving 15 points.    They have a ton of talent and they can still win the division since KC and the Raiders have been shitting themselves for weeks and the Broncos don't have a QB.

Agreed with all points, but 15 points might be too much especially with Gordon coming back.  On sportsbetting.ag we're 13. 5 points underdogs, which I didn't want to touch.  I'd rather see how Gordon looks coming back first. 

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9 hours ago, Mark O said:

14 points on Sportsbook.ag as of this writing.

Vegas hasn't been able to give them enough points either. Taking the points against the Browns has been about as close to a sure thing as there is. Vegas gives more points, we give up even more. I swear Jimmah is betting against the team.

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