US Stocks post biggest post-election drop in history

[calfoxwc]

U.S. Stocks Post Biggest Post-Election Drop on Economic Concern

 

By Elizabeth Stanton

 

Nov. 5 (Bloomberg) -- The stock market posted its biggest plunge following a presidential election as reports on jobs and service industries stoked concern the economy will worsen even as President-elect Barack Obama tries to stimulate growth.

 

Citigroup Inc. tumbled 14 percent and Bank of America Corp. lost 11 percent as the Standard & Poor's 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average sank more than 5 percent. Nucor Corp., the largest U.S.-based steel producer, slid 10 percent after bigger rival ArcelorMittal doubled production cuts amid slowing demand. Boeing Co., the world's second-largest commercial planemaker, lost 6.9 percent after UBS AG forecast a 3 percent drop in global air traffic next year.

 

``We had an election yesterday; that doesn't mean the problems go away,'' said Kevin Rendino, a Plainsboro, New Jersey- based money manager at BlackRock Inc. who oversees $10 billion. ``We still have an economic slowdown.''

 

The S&P 500 tumbled 5.3 percent to 952.77, erasing yesterday's 4.1 percent rally. The Dow retreated 5.1 percent to 9,139.27. The Russell 2000 Index of small U.S. companies fell 5.7 percent to 514.64. The MSCI World Index of 23 developed markets decreased 2.5 percent to 982.98.

 

The slide halted an 18 percent rebound from the S&P 500's five-year low on Oct. 27. The benchmark for U.S. equities has lost more than 35 percent this year, the steepest annual plunge since 1937, and Obama will have to contend with an economy pummeled by the fastest contraction in manufacturing in 26 years and the lowest consumer confidence.

 

Biggest Rally Erased

 

The market's decline came a day after the biggest presidential Election Day gain since the New York Stock Exchange first opened for trading on a voting day in 1984.

 

The report by ADP Employer Services showed companies cut 157,000 jobs in October, the most since November 2002 when the U.S. was emerging from a recession. The Institute for Supply Management said service industries in the U.S., which make up 90 percent of the economy, contracted by the most on record.

 

About 1.3 billion shares changed hands on the NYSE, 11 percent less than the three-month daily average.

 

Citigroup lost $2.05 to $12.63 and Bank of America plunged $2.78 to $21.75. The S&P 500 Financials Index sank 8.8 percent after extending declines late in the day following Oppenheimer & Co. analyst Meredith Whitney's prediction on CNBC that the mortgage market will contract and more than $2 trillion in available credit-card lines will be pulled from the system.

 

Whitney also said potential loan modifications under an Obama administration will hurt banks and diminish their appetite for risk.

 

$6 Trillion Lost

 

The S&P 500 has lost about 39 percent since it peaked at 1,565.15 on Oct. 9, 2007, as the U.S. economy contracted 0.3 percent last quarter and credit-related losses and writedowns by global financial firms approached $700 billion. More than $6 trillion was erased from U.S. equities this year by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

 

Nucor sank $4.16 to $35.50. Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal reported third-quarter profit that fell short of analyst estimates, said its global output will drop by more than 30 percent, and forecast fourth-quarter earnings will fall as much as 48 percent. The company's New York-registered shares slumped 22 percent to $24.88, their biggest retreat in seven years.

 

Boeing fell $3.67 to $49.55. Its share price, which rose 28 percent from Oct. 10 through yesterday, ``is at least six to nine months from bottoming and beginning to mover higher again,'' David E. Strauss, a New York-based analyst at UBS, wrote in a report. Aircraft deliveries may tumble 29 percent from 2009 to 2012, the analyst said.

 

`Continued Softening'

 

Textron Inc. lost $1.71, or 9.2 percent, to $16.93. The world's biggest business-jet maker through its Cessna unit reduced the number of Citation jets it plans to deliver next year, citing ``continued softening in the global economic environment.''

 

Stocks extended their retreat even as Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House of Representatives, said Democrats may seek two economic stimulus measures if President George W. Bush limits the size of a plan to be considered during the post-election ``lame- duck'' session. Obama's party captured at least 19 seats in the House and at least five in the Senate, expanding its congressional majority.

 

General Growth Properties Inc. tumbled almost 50 percent to $2.25 for the biggest drop in the S&P 500. The U.S. mall owner that has lost more than 90 percent of its market value on concern it won't be able to refinance debt coming due this year reported a wider third-quarter loss and suspended its quarterly dividend.

 

Bond Insurers

 

MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc. slumped after the bond insurers posted wider losses than analysts estimated. MBI fell 22 percent to $8.16. Ambac, dropped from the S&P 500 in June, fell 41 percent to $2.01. Slumping credit markets forced the companies to increase reserves for claims.

 

Pioneer Natural Resources lost 15 percent to $24.79. The oil and natural-gas producer in North America and Africa reported third-quarter earnings that missed analyst estimates and said it will cut drilling activity.

 

Sara Lee Corp. slid 14 percent to $10.20. The maker of frozen cakes and Jimmy Dean sausages said full-year profit will be less than it previously estimated because of falling foreign currencies and waning demand in Europe.

 

Marsh & McLennan Cos. fell 12 percent to $26.06. The world's second-biggest insurance broker said profit dropped 78 percent in the third quarter amid the slowing U.S. economy and price declines for commercial coverage and reinsurance.

 

Earnings Season

 

Most companies in the S&P 500 have managed to increase profits even as the economy slows. Of the 386 companies that reported third-quarter results so far, 232 posted higher earnings than in the year-earlier period. Still, profits are down 7.4 percent on average after accounting for losses at financial companies.

 

Medco Health Solutions Inc. climbed 9.1 percent to $41.47 for the biggest of only 13 advances in the S&P 500. A surge in use of generic and mail-order prescription drugs fueled a 38 percent increase in third-quarter profit at the largest U.S. drug benefits manager.

 

Molson Coors Brewing Co. gained 8.3 percent to $41.78. The third-largest U.S. beer maker reported market-share gains in Canada and the U.K. and said it expects to achieve total cost savings from its joint U.S. venture with SABMiller Plc six months early.

 

Chesapeake Energy Corp. climbed 8.2 percent to $24.83 on speculation it will be acquired by BP Plc.

 

General Motors Corp. slipped 16 cents, or 2.8 percent, to $5.56. GM, the biggest U.S. automaker, needs government aid because ``time is very short'' to stop its collapse, Roger Altman, an adviser to the automaker and Obama, said in an interview.

 

Recession Rallies

 

The S&P 500 Index may be on the cusp of a rally by Inauguration Day, based on the speed of its tumble from last year's peak and the time it took stocks to gain before recessions ended in 1975, 1982 and 1991, data compiled by Bloomberg show. This year's plunge in stocks suggests that equity investors anticipate an economic contraction as severe as the one that began under Richard Nixon that will end in July.

 

The S&P 500's slump since last year's high is the steepest for a comparable period since the gauge fell 43 percent in the 13 months ended in October 1974, Bloomberg data show.

 

1970s Recession

 

The economy then was mired in a recession that lasted 16 months and ended in March 1975, five months after the equity market began its rebound. During the recessions of 1982 and 1991, the S&P 500 began to climb four months and five months before the economy started to recover, respectively.

 

Based on the market's history of anticipating economic recoveries, the S&P 500 may embark on its next bull market in February, about a month after Obama's inauguration on Jan. 20.

 

Stocks gained yesterday after the 17th straight decline in a key interest rate, a sign that as much as $3 trillion of emergency funds provided by governments to resuscitate bank lending are working. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, that banks charge each other for three month loans in dollars fell again today to the lowest level since December 2004.

[Mr. T]

dont be so suprised, look for many americans and foreign investors to sell off and take there profits before Obama gets in office and increases capital gains taxes.

[PB&J]

The market having a bad day? In this economy?! Who'd have thought such a thing could happen?! It must have been Obama being elected!

[hoorta]

Every single time we've had one of those giant spikes... it's been followed by a bad day. Been happening for about a month now. Very, very volatile.

 

That said, I know big biz and Wall Street wanted preferential "trickle down" treatment from McCain. They'll get used to it. They certainly did under Clinton (!).

 

Like the economy responds in nanoseconds to Washington policy Shep. Clinton reaped the benefits of Reagonomics.

 

Yeah, now we'll try "trickle up" economics under Barak. We rob enough rich guys and give to the poor, the economy will take off like gangbusters when all them 'po folk rush out and buy plasma tvs courtesy of Uncle Sam.

 

Shep, pull your head out of your ass- the market tanked today because those with two functioning neurons realize Barak is bad for capatalism.

[calfoxwc]

and meanwhile, a COMMUNIST FLAG was waving at the Obama victory party.

 

I think we are in for big trouble.

 

Maybe Colin Powell is just keeping an eye on Obumbly's admin - ready for a

temporary military takeover of the government to stop us from

being ENSLAVED by communism.

 

marxism is just a conversion step to changing capitalism to communism, ya know.

 

This would make a great movie.

 

Big trouble. Shep's head is stuck there forever, methinks.

[We need Tom Tupa]

The market dropped for a million reasons, almost none of which included the election. The most significant factor was probably new estimates of Fridays lousy employment report. If people wanted to adjust prices lower because of Obama, then theyve done it already. Most estimates were that he had a 90-98% chance of winning. Whatever damage or benefit investors thought he would be to the economy was at least 90% priced in to the market already.

 

Also, if the market really hates Dems so much, then Obama's victory wouldve been offset by the fact that Dems probably didnt win 60 Senate seats.

[Pumpkin Eater]

Every single time we've had one of those giant spikes... it's been followed by a bad day. Been happening for about a month now. Very, very volatile.

 

That said, I know big biz and Wall Street wanted preferential "trickle down" treatment from McCain. They'll get used to it. They certainly did under Clinton (!).

 

Like the economy responds in nanoseconds to Washington policy Shep. Clinton reaped the benefits of Reagonomics.

 

Yeah, now we'll try "trickle up" economics under Barak. We rob enough rich guys and give to the poor, the economy will take off like gangbusters when all them 'po folk rush out and buy plasma tvs courtesy of Uncle Sam.

 

Shep, pull your head out of your ass- the market tanked today because those with two functioning neurons realize Barak is bad for capatalism.

 

Sorry, it doesn't take 16 year for economic policy to take hold. To say something so ignorant shows your complete lack of knowledge on the subject of macroeconomics.

 

And, I don't care if they think Barack is bad for "capitalism" or not. It's funny they LIKE capitalism when they are making money but want a bailout (read: socialism) when they are going to lose their ass.

 

stop being a pawn of the rich.

[We need Tom Tupa]

He didnt say that it took 16 years to take hold, just that it was still reaping benefits. Do you disagree? If so, why?

[Pumpkin Eater]

He didnt say that it took 16 years to take hold, just that it was still reaping benefits. Do you disagree? If so, why?

 

The recession at the end of Bush I. The slow economy in the first two years under Clinton.

 

In fact, the president's economic policies get way to much credit or blame for the economy. Their policies affect it some. But not as much as we think.

The FED has and always will take the same approach to soften or strengthen the economy as needed. They might not always take the steps at the right time (Greenspan) but they do the same thing.

 

The economy is more about fear and greed and investor's attitude than anything else.

[osusev]

Tupa did you just try to reason with Cal on market driven influences? I saw on another thread you asked that cal and his bunch to stop posting garbage threads so Bunker posted one immediately within that same post.

 

Its not worth dealing with the Palin element of your party Tupa.

[Mr. T]

and meanwhile, a COMMUNIST FLAG was waving at the Obama victory party.

 

I think we are in for big trouble.

 

Maybe Colin Powell is just keeping an eye on Obumbly's admin - ready for a

temporary military takeover of the government to stop us from

being ENSLAVED by communism.

 

marxism is just a conversion step to changing capitalism to communism, ya know.

 

This would make a great movie.

 

Big trouble. Shep's head is stuck there forever, methinks.

[Pumpkin Eater]

That's funny. You advocate a totalitarian military takeover of our government because Obama won, all the while complaining about socialism. Good stuff. Loser.

[Mr. T]

dow down 237

 

sell sell sell!!!!!!!!!!!

 

save your money from taxes!!!!!

[Mr. T]

for the second straight day, the dow is down!!!

 

- 443.48 todays loss