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Completion %


7moses7

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I admire Dorsey's approach - sit down and learn about who these qb's are, what makes them tick, are they a fit.  He wants to talk to all of them.

Truth is, putting too much emphasis on one stat, one game, one weakness,whatever - clouds the legit appraisal of the qbs and their chances of being the right guy or not for your NFL team.

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18 minutes ago, 7moses7 said:

                       College.             Pro

Dan Marino.      57.6.             59.4

John Elway.       62.1.              56.9

Josh Allen.          56.2

 

       Just Saying

And in 2017, of the top 25 NFL Qbs in yards- only four had completions under 60% , one which was our own not-so loved Deshone Kizer. Dalton and Newton just missed at 59% Just sayin'.  Pass completion% has gone way up in the last 20 years in the top qbs. Why I have almost no hope Kizer is ever going to be anything in the pros. 

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22 minutes ago, 7moses7 said:

                       College.             Pro

Dan Marino.      57.6.             59.4

John Elway.       62.1.              56.9

Josh Allen.          56.2

 

       Just Saying

Not sure what you saying.... are you comparing the college passing games of the very early 80's to 2017?

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31 minutes ago, calfoxwc said:

I admire Dorsey's approach - sit down and learn about who these qb's are, what makes them tick, are they a fit.  He wants to talk to all of them.

Truth is, putting too much emphasis on one stat, one game, one weakness,whatever - clouds the legit appraisal of the qbs and their chances of being the right guy or not for your NFL team.

True....and once he does that he may come to the conclusion that Mason Rudolph is the legit thing.

(yes...I said this just to get Tour...and others to go have an epileptic fit)B)

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30 minutes ago, The Gipper said:

True....and once he does that he may come to the conclusion that Mason Rudolph is the legit thing.

(yes...I said this just to get Tour...and others to go have an epileptic fit)B)

That's how I know you haven't watched a damn bit of Mason.  Kid might have a worse command than Allen does on pacing and placement of his throws. 

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38 minutes ago, tiamat63 said:

That's how I know you haven't watched a damn bit of Mason.  Kid might have a worse command than Allen does on pacing and placement of his throws. 

I have actually watched a couple of his games....and overall thought he played very well.   And if we are just looking at stats, completion % etc.  here are his stats:

 

Passing

 
  • * indicates bowl stats included
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    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Oklahoma State         915 1447 63.2 13618 9.4 9.9 92 26 159.7
*2014 Oklahoma State Big 12 FR QB 3 49 86 57.0 853 9.9 9.2 6 4 154.0
*2015 Oklahoma State Big 12 SO QB 13 264 424 62.3 3770 8.9 8.9 21 9 149.1
*2016 Oklahoma State Big 12 JR QB 13 284 448 63.4 4091 9.1 10.0 28 4 158.9
2017 Oklahoma State Big 12 SR QB 13 318 489 65.0 4904 10.0 10.7 37 9 170.6

 

He improved his completion % every year. Excellent TD/Int. ratio.  Not sure how these compare to other candidates...but on their own they are pretty fine stats.    Of course....the ALWAYS  caveat:   He played against Big 12 defenses.

So...not perfect by any means.  But, from what I saw visually...and what I see here...he stands up well enough.

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Compare Josh Rosen:

Passing

 
 
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career UCLA         712 1170 60.9 9340 8.0 8.0 59 26 140.1
*2015 UCLA Pac-12 FR QB 13 292 487 60.0 3669 7.5 7.5 23 11 134.3
2016 UCLA Pac-12 SO QB 6 137 231 59.3 1915 8.3 8.2 10 5 138.9
2017 UCLA Pac-12 JR QB 11 283 452 62.6 3756 8.3 8.5 26 10 147.0

 

Completion % not as good. Rating not as good YPA not as good.   TD/Int ratio not as good.  Just saying...and comparing.

No doubt tougher defenses in Pac 12.

 
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Sam Darnold.   Only two years worth of stats.

Passing

 
 
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career USC         549 846 64.9 7229 8.5 8.7 57 22 153.7
*2015 USC Pac-12 FR QB                    
*2016 USC Pac-12 FR QB 13 246 366 67.2 3086 8.4 9.0 31 9 161.1
2017 USC Pac-12 SO QB 14 303 480 63.1 4143 8.6 8.5 26 13 148.1
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Baker Mayfield:

Passing

 
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    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Overall         1026 1497 68.5 14607 9.8 10.6 131 30 175.4
  Texas Tech         218 340 64.1 2315 6.8 6.3 12 9 127.7
  Oklahoma         808 1157 69.8 12292 10.6 11.9 119 21 189.4
*2013 Texas Tech Big 12   QB 8 218 340 64.1 2315 6.8 6.3 12 9 127.7
*2015 Oklahoma Big 12 JR QB 13 269 395 68.1 3700 9.4 10.4 36 7 173.3
*2016 Oklahoma Big 12 JR QB 13 254 358 70.9 3965 11.1 12.3 40 8 196.4
2017 Oklahoma Big 12 SR QB 14 285 404 70.5 4627 11.5 12.9 43 6 198.9

 

Better comp. % than the others above.  Better TD/Int rate.  Better YPA.  Better rating.   He wins the stats battle.  (Again....vs. Big 12 defenses)

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Josh Allen stats:

Passing

 
  • * indicates bowl stats included
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  •  
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Wyoming         365 649 56.2 5066 7.8 7.7 44 21 137.7
2015 Wyoming MWC SO QB 2 4 6 66.7 51 8.5 8.5 0 0 138.1
*2016 Wyoming MWC SO QB 14 209 373 56.0 3203 8.6 8.3 28 15 144.9
2017 Wyoming MWC JR QB 11 152 270 56.3 1812 6.7 6.9 16 6 127.8

 

Worst Comp %.   Worst YPA, Worst rating. Worst TD/Int ratio.   So  far.

 

 

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Lamar Jackson Stats

 

Passing

 
  • * indicates bowl stats included
  •  
  •  
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Louisville         619 1086 57.0 9043 8.3 8.5 69 27 142.9
*2015 Louisville ACC FR QB 12 135 247 54.7 1840 7.4 7.0 12 8 126.8
*2016 Louisville ACC SO QB 13 230 409 56.2 3543 8.7 9.1 30 9 148.8
2017 Louisville ACC JR QB 13 254 430 59.1 3660 8.5 8.7 27 10 146.6

 

Only 0.8 pct. better than Allen...but better Comp %.   Overall slightly better. 

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So.....On this "Battle of the Stats"   I surmise that they come down in the following order:

1. Mayfield

2. Rudolph

3. Darnold

4. Rosen

5. Jackson

6. Allen.

Yes...this is based purely on these stats.   No accounting for conference.  No eye test....etc.  Take it for what its worth. 

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And those 6 may not be the only ones being considered. 

Here are Luke Falks stats.    They seem to compare reasonably favorably:

Passing

 
 
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Washington State         1403 2054 68.3 14481 7.1 7.4 119 39 142.8
2014 Washington State Pac-12 FR QB 5 156 243 64.2 1859 7.7 7.4 13 7 140.4
*2015 Washington State Pac-12 SO QB 12 447 644 69.4 4561 7.1 7.7 38 8 145.9
*2016 Washington State Pac-12 JR QB 13 443 633 70.0 4468 7.1 7.5 38 11 145.6
2017 Washington State Pac-12 SR QB 12 357 534 66.9 3593 6.7 6.8 30 13 137.0

 

Only Mayfield had a better comp. pct.   Somewhat better rating than Rosen/Jackson.   Much lower YPA,,,  Good TD/Int ratio. 

Again...just a pure stats view.

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Who else should be looked at? 

How about Logan Woodside...Toledo:

Passing

 
 
    Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
Career Toledo         759 1166 65.1 10514 9.0 9.6 93 25 162.9
2013 Toledo MAC FR QB 4 21 41 51.2 240 5.9 6.3 1 0 108.4
*2014 Toledo MAC SO QB 12 185 296 62.5 2263 7.6 7.7 19 8 142.5
*2015 Toledo MAC JR QB                    
*2016 Toledo MAC JR QB 13 289 418 69.1 4129 9.9 11.1 45 9 183.3
2017 Toledo MAC SR QB 14 264 411 64.2 3882 9.4 9.9 28 8 162.2

 

Cannot discount the level of play...can you?   If you are to look at Allen...you would look at him.  And don't forget BR was MAC....and Wentz was FCS

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20 hours ago, calfoxwc said:

Truth is, putting too much emphasis on one stat, one game, one weakness,whatever - clouds the legit appraisal of the qbs and their chances of being the right guy or not for your NFL team.

Especially when that stat does not support your case... ;)

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Truth is, putting too much emphasis on one stat, one game, one weakness,whatever - clouds the legit appraisal of the qbs and their chances of being the right guy or not for your NFL team.

Especially when that stat dies not support your case.

True....expecially when ALL the stats do not support your case.  As I said above when summarizing Allen:

Worst Comp %.   Worst YPA, Worst rating. Worst TD/Int ratio.  

I had no dog in the fight....I just report these facts. 

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ha. I have noted Allen's lack of accuracy. The question is, how much is all on the qb? some of it has to do with the

defenses faced, the protection or lack thereof, the quality of wr's, availability of a very good pass catching TE,  AND the type of offense played....the running game, and whatever else.

The accuracy may very well be coached/fixed to a point. You can NOT coach and fix a lifetime of being a spoiled asswipe turd like rosen, who has no leadership and would be a cancer in your lockerroom, a community divider, and a quitter when things get tough on the field. Little rosie would walk away whining, and blaming everything on his not having a hottub on the sideline. have a nice day.B)

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3 hours ago, calfoxwc said:

ha. I have noted Allen's lack of accuracy. The question is, how much is all on the qb? some of it has to do with the

defenses faced, the protection or lack thereof, the quality of wr's, availability of a very good pass catching TE,  AND the type of offense played....the running game, and whatever else.

The accuracy may very well be coached/fixed to a point. You can NOT coach and fix a lifetime of being a spoiled asswipe turd like rosen, who has no leadership and would be a cancer in your lockerroom, a community divider, and a quitter when things get tough on the field. Little rosie would walk away whining, and blaming everything on his not having a hottub on the sideline. have a nice day.B)

Regarding Allen- there was some interesting stuff on a cleveland.com podcast. Guy went in pretty deep detail...  Josh's lousy completion% was against IIRC collectively (don't quote me on the exact #) the #178th ranked NCAA passing defenses. 

Regarding Rosen- seems you're using one factor (that can't even be quantitated) to disqualify a player...   

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1 hour ago, The Gipper said:

 

1. Mayfield-Multiple No Huddle offense..4 juniors/1 Soph. on OL..Spreads the ball around to multiple young WR's/TE's with 1 senior in Smallwood                                                                                    2.Rudolph--Air Raid offense..3 seniors on OL at C,LT.RT deepest of group. TE's were all juniors..Rudolph also had the best senior based in WR Core with 3 in Washington,Ateman,Lacy                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               

3. Darnold--Spread Offense..second weakest OL of group with 1 senior C,3 juniors with a freshman at LG.Fair WR core with Burnett leading way with 86 catches/1114 yards..RB Jones only caught 14 balls, so Darnold's not looking to dink down the field. 

4. Rosen--Spread Offense..OL had Senior at C/LG.Junior at LT. Right side Freshman & Solpmore maybe weakest of group leading to concussion hits? Fair running game. Also Rosen could spread the ball around to young WR Core with one great Junior in Lashley with 69 catches for 1264 yards...

^^^for what it's worth..#teamDorseyWolfeHunt

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49 minutes ago, calfoxwc said:

ha. I have noted Allen's lack of accuracy. The question is, how much is all on the qb? some of it has to do with the

defenses faced, the protection or lack thereof, the quality of wr's, availability of a very good pass catching TE,  AND the type of offense played....the running game, and whatever else.

The accuracy may very well be coached/fixed to a point. You can NOT coach and fix a lifetime of being a spoiled asswipe turd like rosen, who has no leadership and would be a cancer in your lockerroom, a community divider, and a quitter when things get tough on the field. Little rosie would walk away whining, and blaming everything on his not having a hottub on the sideline. have a nice day.B)

Rosen really gets you hot and bothered under your red MAGA hat, doesn't he?

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3 hours ago, hoorta said:

Regarding Allen- there was some interesting stuff on a cleveland.com podcast. Guy went in pretty deep detail...  Josh's lousy completion% was against IIRC collectively (don't quote me on the exact #) the #178th ranked NCAA passing defenses. 

Regarding Rosen- seems you're using one factor (that can't even be quantitated) to disqualify a player...   

   That one factor is not a coaching factor. It's an ingrained, permanent flaw that doesn't lend itself to inspiring the team around him, the community and fans of the team. No team needs the distraction. Character is one of the core values I look for in a "face of the franchise". Cherry pick the stat about the 178th pass defenses? How about telling us the rating of the players around him? Like maybe the 180th ranked set of wide receivers? Stats are relative to other stats.

    So, a bad accuracy percentage says only that "there are reason/reasons why". That's all. If the reasons reside with the player, fine.

It it doesn't seem to be a coaching thing, fine. Don't draft the player. I don't see the answer so far with Allen, that's all.

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2 hours ago, Dutch Oven said:

Rosen really gets you hot and bothered under your red MAGA hat, doesn't he?

not at all. I was bashing the brash, arrogant punk long before I read about the stupid hat. I have friends who are very, very liberal.

Doesn't matter, except we know we don't bother talking politics. Which, as tour said, can you leave the politics off the board ?

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9 minutes ago, calfoxwc said:

   That one factor is not a coaching factor. It's an ingrained, permanent flaw that doesn't lend itself to inspiring the team around him, the community and fans of the team. No team needs the distraction. Character is one of the core values I look for in a "face of the franchise". Cherry pick the stat about the 178th pass defenses? How about telling us the rating of the players around him? Like maybe the 180th ranked set of wide receivers? Stats are relative to other stats.

    So, a bad accuracy percentage says only that "there are reason/reasons why". That's all. If the reasons reside with the player, fine.

It it doesn't seem to be a coaching thing, fine. Don't draft the player. I don't see the answer so far with Allen, that's all.

OK you want to tell me people can't change- drastically? Not easy, and it doesn't happen often. I sure hope Gordon did. The guy who founded AA was a skid row drunk. I used to be a Democrat way back. 

Dorsey will interview Rosen at length, doubtless asking some pointed questions. (Just like Mayfield was asked at the Senior Bowl) I'll trust their first hand look other than hearsay. They all get a "personality profile" test at the combine- besides the Wunderlich. (Care to bet me Rosen scores 35+?) Those tests make it mighty hard to disguise being a Grade A Jerk.    

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1 minute ago, hoorta said:

OK you want to tell me people can't change- drastically? Not easy, and it doesn't happen often. I sure hope Gordon did. The guy who founded AA was a skid row drunk. I used to be a Democrat way back. 

Dorsey will interview Rosen at length, doubtless asking some pointed questions. (Just like Mayfield was asked at the Senior Bowl) I'll trust their first hand look other than hearsay. They all get a "personality profile" test at the combine- besides the Wunderlich. (Care to bet me Rosen scores 35+?) Those tests make it mighty hard to disguise being a Grade A Jerk.    

you telling me they always do? You take the chance, fine. I wouldn't. I'd talk to him, try to gauge how he would respond to the

responsibilities of being a very, very rich millionaire with the weight of expectations to be the guy. I don't see it.

You want to, okay. I believe Mayfield is easily to fit the mold, despite being imperfect. Rosen - doesn't have "it" - "it" referring to heart, toughness, and leadership. How many years has it allegedly taken Gordon? Would you wait that long for a #1 overall pick at qb?

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23 minutes ago, calfoxwc said:

not at all. I was bashing the brash, arrogant punk long before I read about the stupid hat. I have friends who are very, very liberal.

Doesn't matter, except we know we don't bother talking politics. Which, as tour said, can you leave the politics off the board ?

When it comes to you, absolutely not.

You constantly make your bed when it comes to this topic, so you'll lie in it, and you'll like it.

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1 minute ago, calfoxwc said:

you telling me they always do? You take the chance, fine. I wouldn't. I'd talk to him, try to gauge how he would respond to the

responsibilities of being a very, very rich millionaire with the weight of expectations to be the guy. I don't see it.

You want to, okay. I believe Mayfield is easily to fit the mold, despite being imperfect. Rosen - doesn't have "it" - "it" referring to heart, toughness, and leadership. How many years has it allegedly taken Gordon? Would you wait that long for a #1 overall pick at qb?

Cal, he's already been living the life of a rich millionaire- his parents have money. Now if you want to say he won't change because he has money of his own- fine. FWIW, I've said many times I have hesitations about Rosen #1 overall- because of the injuries, not because YOU think he's a rich spoiled punk. 

Regarding the other it's - that's your opinion. Guys who get paid to grade players don't agree. 

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6 hours ago, tiamat63 said:

Oh, good...let's compare QB's near 30 years ago in their prime to the modern NFL passer.

Might as Shmucking well take a RB #1 overall since we're doing Sheet based on things done that long ago. 

True the official and I guess you could call it the unofficial rules of the 1970 to 1980s and now certainly favor the receivers and quarterbacks now which would change the numbers. 

Could you picture Marino and Elway (and others) in today's game......wow, pinball numbers.

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 The one thing about Rosen that I heard him say in an interview on TV tonight is that he said he wanted to go to the right team to win multiple Super Bowl's. Again the emphasis was on the right team. To me it was perhaps a subtle hint that he did not think that the Browns were the right team because he said he did not care that much about being the number one overall pick. Just being on the right team

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